Friday, March 6, 2015

Presidential Election 2016
(demographics and polling)

The demographics (see here) indicate that it would be very difficult for Republicans to win the 2016 presidential election without winning the swing states of Florida and Ohio. The only Republicans who come even close to Hillary Clinton in a Quinnipiac poll in these states are Jeb Bush and John Kasich.

Ohio: Bush vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 47, Bush 36
Clinton +11
Ohio: Christie vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 47, Christie 34
Clinton +13
Ohio: Paul vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 48, Paul 36
Clinton +12
Ohio: Huckabee vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 49, Huckabee 34
Clinton +15
Ohio: Kasich vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 44, Kasich 43
Clinton +1
Florida: Bush vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 44, Bush 43
Clinton +1
Florida: Christie vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 51, Christie 33
Clinton +18
Florida: Paul vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 50, Paul 38
Clinton +12
Florida: Huckabee vs. Clinton
Quinnipiac
Clinton 51, Huckabee 34
Clinton +17